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Making good decisions in uncertain times




Excerpt: "We are living with a lot of uncertainty right now. There are some economic headwinds, though hiring has remained robust. There are significant legislative changes on the horizon. Ongoing wars in Ukraine and the Middle East are creating global tensions. The rise of generative AI has led to concerns about the future of many jobs and industries.


The difficulty of predicting the future complicates decision-making for people at every level of an organization from low-level employees who may be angling for a promotion or thinking of a career change to high-level leaders who have to set strategy and select tactics for an entire organization. How can you make good decisions in this environment?


PROCESS NOT OUTCOME


The first thing to remember when making decisions in any environment (but particularly when there is a lot of turbulence) is that you have to focus on the process you use to choose rather than whether the outcome is the one you wanted. Begin by thinking about what information is important for the decision. Determine whether there are experts or team members you should consult along the way. Develop a method for combining information in advance if you can.



Use spreadsheets and dashboards to organize data. Make lists of decision criteria and the weight that information should have in the ultimate choice so that you don’t lose track of important factors. Refer to these tools along the way and don’t rely only on your memory."

 
 

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One  objective:
facilitating  those,
who are so motivated,
to enjoy the benefits of becoming  humble polymaths.   

“The universe
is full of magical things
patiently waiting for our wits to grow sharper.”


—Eden Phillpotts

Four wooden chairs arranged in a circle outdoors in a natural setting, surrounded by tall

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The day science begins to study non-physical phenomena, it will make more progress in one decade than in all the previous centuries.

Nikola Tesla

“It is good to love many things, for therein lies the true strength, and whosoever loves much performs much, and can accomplish much, and what is done in love is well done.”

Vincent Van Gogh

" The unexamined life is not worth living."  

Attributed to Socrates​

“Who knows whether in a couple of centuries

there may not exist universities for restoring the old ignorance?”

Georg Christoph Lichtenberg

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